Carson Gale
@CarsonGale
accredited investor
$173total balance
$0charity balance
$173cash balance
$0 in pending offers
Outgoing donations
Investments
Comparing forecasting platform accuracybought $237 @ $1.5K valuation
OPTICbought $95 @ $5K valuation
Interpretable Forecasting with Transformersbought $40 @ $2K valuation
Crystal Ballin' Podcastbought $90 @ $2.5K valuation
Superforecaster predictions of long-term impactsbought $285 @ $3K valuation
A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifoldbought $80 @ $5.33K valuation
Transactions
| For | Date | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| <6a7b8e55-d580-40fc-b357-a713f428c9b2> | 11 months ago | profile donation | 6000 |
| Manifund Bank | 12 months ago | deposit | +6000 |
| A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifold | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 80 |
| Superforecaster predictions of long-term impacts | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 180 |
| Superforecaster predictions of long-term impacts | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 105 |
| Crystal Ballin' Podcast | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 40 |
| Crystal Ballin' Podcast | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 50 |
| Interpretable Forecasting with Transformers | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 40 |
| Comparing forecasting platform accuracy | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 77 |
| Comparing forecasting platform accuracy | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 100 |
| Comparing forecasting platform accuracy | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 60 |
| OPTIC | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 95 |
| Manifund Bank | over 1 year ago | deposit | +1000 |