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guenael avatarguenael avatar
Guenael Strutt

@guenael

accredited investor

guenael.com
$201.13total balance
$200charity balance
$1.13cash balance

$0 in pending offers

Investments

A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifoldbought $-24 @ $-168K valuation
Educate the public about high impact causesbought $50 @ $2K valuation
Scaling Legal Impact for Chickens to make factory-farm cruelty a liabilitybought $500 @ $7.9K valuation
Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and promptsbought $100 @ $4K valuation
News through prediction marketsbought $50 @ $500 valuation

Trade offers

Scaling Legal Impact for Chickens to make factory-farm cruelty a liability
Offered to 
SELL
 $200 @ $20K valuation

Comments

Build anti-mosquito drones
guenael avatar

Guenael Strutt

about 1 year ago

Impressive work, especially on such a budget and tight timeframe!

Can you comment on the presence of turbulence around the drone (which creates noise in the ultrasound spectrum) and the reflectivity of a mosquito (relative to the artifact that you used in the proof of concept). Your approach is sound for 3D scanning in general but I don't see how the SNR numbers add up for the purpose of chasing mosquitoes with a drone.

I have experience in 3D object tracking using ultrasound if you'd like to chat (LinkedIn or email).

Scaling Legal Impact for Chickens to make factory-farm cruelty a liability
guenael avatar

Guenael Strutt

about 1 year ago

Thank you for the thoughtful answer @Alene. There is no right way to think about this – the buyer of the certificate can use any heuristic they choose, but I wanted to get your thoughts in the event one reached out while looking to put a dollar value on a successful outcome. 11% @$500 is a per-lawsuit value of $4500, which sounds like an incredible deal (but maybe I'm thinking about this wrong?).

Scaling Legal Impact for Chickens to make factory-farm cruelty a liability
guenael avatar

Guenael Strutt

about 1 year ago

I believe in the mission and think the strategy is effective. My goal as a grantor is to estimate how much the grant would be worth if the project it funds is successful. It would help to understand what this grant does that the current LIC funding doesn't – say you win one of the new or existing cases, and someone wishes to buy the grant as a result, how much of the success would be attributed to this grant specifically?

Vegans should have the right to eat in public institutions : help us turn our right into a reality
guenael avatar

Guenael Strutt

about 1 year ago

The proposal changed from winning a lawsuit to publicizing the Court decision – can you update the definition of success (i.e what does meeting other NGOs achieves)? Suppose you get airtime on a major platform, that's a successful outcome well beyond the $500 valuation.

Transactions

ForDateTypeAmount
Manifund Bank9 months agodeposit+200
News through prediction marketsabout 1 year agouser to user trade50
Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and promptsabout 1 year agouser to user trade100
Scaling Legal Impact for Chickens to make factory-farm cruelty a liabilityabout 1 year agouser to user trade367
Scaling Legal Impact for Chickens to make factory-farm cruelty a liabilityabout 1 year agouser to user trade133
Educate the public about high impact causesabout 1 year agouser to user trade50
Manifund Bankabout 1 year agodeposit+500
Manifund Bankabout 1 year agodeposit+200
Manifund Bankover 1 year agowithdraw125
A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifoldover 1 year agouser to user trade+104
Subsidize Real Money Prediction Markets on High Impact Topicsover 1 year agouser to user trade+6
Manifold feature to improve non-resolving popularity marketsover 1 year agouser to user trade+6
Manifold Markets Add-on for Google Sheetsover 1 year agouser to user trade+9
Subsidize Real Money Prediction Markets on High Impact Topicsabout 2 years agouser to user trade80
A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifoldabout 2 years agouser to user trade80
Manifold Markets Add-on for Google Sheetsabout 2 years agouser to user trade29
Manifold feature to improve non-resolving popularity marketsabout 2 years agouser to user trade10
Manifund Bankabout 2 years agodeposit+200