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Marcus Abramovitch

@MarcusAbramovitch

regrantor

Effective altruist, earning to give running a crypto fund. Very concerned with animal welfare and longtermism and their intersection. Ex-poker player and chemisty PhD student.

https://www.linkedin.com/in/marcus-abramovitch-b01955120/

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$25,000.01total balance
$25,000.01charity balance
$0cash balance

$0 in pending offers

About Me

Currently I'm a Managing Partner at AltX, an EA-aligned crypto trading hedge fund. Previously, I've been a professional poker player and chemistry PhD student. I'm also very good at various strategy games and am a top trader on Manifold in my spare time. I'm quite involved in the EA community and also advise some projects in the crypto space. I also run the Highly Speculative EA Capital Accumulation FB group and EA/LW Investing Discord.

Compared to most EAs, I'm fairly concerned about animal welfare, particularly how we treat animals in the long term and mitigating any value lock-in that causes other sentient life to suffer unnecessarily and not flourish as much as it could. This means I am concerned about a potential rise in insect farming (if insects are sentient) or an expansion in humanity's use of animals leading to their suffering. I'm similarly concerned about humanity not living up to its potential and while I do think that AI currently poses the most existential risk, I am more concerned than most EAs on biological risks, particularly engineered pandemics as well as bioweapons as well as very bad nuclear scenarios.

Some things I consider important when it comes to grants I would make.

-I think EA needs to get a lot more ambitious and entrepreneurial when it comes to solving problems it cares about. I also think too many EAs inflate the possibilities of downside risk, leading to EA being far too risk-averse in its grants on many issues.

-I think problems are solved by working directly on the core problem than by armchair philosophizing on the problem for a long time since I think you get new information as you work directly on the problem.

-I think very smart people, so long as they are value-aligned and have proper incentives are your best bet to solving problems rather than just "a good starting idea". I think I am a very good judge of people.

-I care a lot about incentive alignment and am wary of misaligned incentives.

This means I am far more interested in funding direct work to detect deception in AI systems than I am in someone who wants to skill up to do AI safety research or build a meta-org to teach independent alignment researchers about epistemic or promote AI governance. I am more wanting to fund a group building refuges on islands than someone who wants to do research on their laptop for a year. It also means that if I know someone to be a smart and capable person who is value-aligned in my network, I am willing to give them a grant even though I might not have quite sufficient knowledge to adequately assess their progress or research behind their idea.

I'm happy to be given a restriction on what you want money to go to if you decide to re-grant to me (If you want to restrict the grant to a cause area or otherwise).

Outgoing donations

Tarbell Center for AI Journalism
$7500
4 months ago
Progress Studies YouTube Channel
$20000
9 months ago
Isolating CBRN Knowledge in LLMs for Safety - Phase 2 (Research)
$24110.16
10 months ago
CaML - AGI alignment to nonhumans
$20000
11 months ago
Measuring the Epistemic Cost-Effectiveness of AI Safety Content
$5000
11 months ago
AI scam research targeting seniors
$10000
about 1 year ago
Videos on UK Free Speech
$7500
about 1 year ago
'Making God': a Documentary on AI Risks for the Public
$5000
over 1 year ago
Experiments to test EA / longtermist framings and branding
$16650
over 2 years ago
Exploring novel research directions in prosaic AI alignment
$4800
almost 3 years ago
Exploring feature interactions in transformer LLMs through sparse autoencoders
$8500
almost 3 years ago
Apollo Research: Scale up interpretability & behavioral model evals research
$9999
about 3 years ago
Forecasting - AI Governance Policies
$9000
about 3 years ago
Scoping Developmental Interpretability
$10000
about 3 years ago
Joseph Bloom - Independent AI Safety Research
$25000
about 3 years ago
Activation vector steering with BCI
$15000
about 3 years ago

Investments

Manifold: Live!bought $821 @ $2.49K valuation
Trading assistant bot (Remind Me)bought $109 @ $250 valuation
Invest in the Conflux Manifold Media Empire(??)bought $110 @ $250 valuation
About MarcusBy Marcus50

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Transactions

ForDateTypeAmount
Tarbell Center for AI Journalism4 months agoproject donation7500
Manifund Bank4 months agodeposit+25000
Progress Studies YouTube Channel9 months agoproject donation20000
Isolating CBRN Knowledge in LLMs for Safety - Phase 2 (Research)10 months agoproject donation24110
CaML - AGI alignment to nonhumans11 months agoproject donation20000
Measuring the Epistemic Cost-Effectiveness of AI Safety Content11 months agoproject donation5000
AI scam research targeting seniors about 1 year agoproject donation10000
Videos on UK Free Speechabout 1 year agoproject donation7500
<887532ea-6eeb-409c-9fee-cd44acece782>over 1 year agoprofile donation+100
'Making God': a Documentary on AI Risks for the Publicover 1 year agoproject donation5000
Manifund Bankover 1 year agodeposit+100000
Manifund Bankover 2 years agoreturn bank funds1051
Manifold: Live!over 2 years agouser to amm trade+29
Experiments to test EA / longtermist framings and brandingover 2 years agoproject donation16650
Exploring novel research directions in prosaic AI alignmentalmost 3 years agoproject donation4800
Exploring feature interactions in transformer LLMs through sparse autoencodersalmost 3 years agoproject donation8500
Manifund Bankalmost 3 years agomana deposit+50
Trading assistant bot (Remind Me)almost 3 years agouser to user trade109
Manifold: Live!almost 3 years agouser to user trade850
Invest in the Conflux Manifold Media Empire(??)almost 3 years agouser to user trade110
Apollo Research: Scale up interpretability & behavioral model evals researchabout 3 years agoproject donation9999
Forecasting - AI Governance Policiesabout 3 years agoproject donation9000
Scoping Developmental Interpretabilityabout 3 years agoproject donation10000
Manifund Bankabout 3 years agodeposit+50000
Joseph Bloom - Independent AI Safety Researchabout 3 years agoproject donation25000
Activation vector steering with BCIabout 3 years agoproject donation15000
Manifund Bankover 3 years agodeposit+50000