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Forecasting

4 proposals
15 active projects
$308K
Grants45Impact certificates57
🍋

Jonas Vollmer

AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team

AI Futures Project

AI governanceForecasting
7
4
$15.3K raised
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Francisco Carvalho

Building Tooling to Map how Ideas Spread

The nooscope will deliver public tools to map how ideas spread, starting with psyop detection, within 18 months

Science & technologyForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
2
1
$2.63K / $100K
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African Sport Talent

Play2Potential From play to purpose

— unlocking talent across Africa.

BiomedicalEA communityForecastingGlobal catastrophic risksGlobal health & development
0
0
$0 / $30K
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Epoch AI

Investigating and informing the public about the trajectory of AI

AI governanceForecasting
9
11
$5.97K raised
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ampdot

Act I: Exploring emergent behavior from multi-AI, multi-human interaction

Community exploring and predicting potential risks and opportunities arising from a future that involves many independently controlled AI systems

Technical AI safetyEA Community ChoiceForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
26
98
$67.8K raised
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Nuño Sempere

Fund Sentinel for Q1-2025

A foresight and emergency response team seeking to react fast to calamities

BiosecurityForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
14
19
$40K raised
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Oliver Habryka

Lightcone Infrastructure

Funding for LessWrong.com, the AI Alignment Forum, Lighthaven and other Lightcone Projects

Science & technologyTechnical AI safetyAI governanceEA Community ChoiceEA communityForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
36
29
$82K raised
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Case Sandberg

Play money prediction markets

Community-run, open source prediction market platform

EA Community ChoiceForecasting
8
7
$2.4K raised
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Osnat Katz

Future-Proofing Forecasting: Easy Open-Source Solution

Free Forecasting For Everyone, Everywhere

EA Community ChoiceForecasting
4
16
$2.07K raised
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wasabipesto

Calibration City

Prediction markets have the potential to reshape the way we process information, but how accurate are they in practice?

EA Community ChoiceForecasting
6
7
$3.76K raised
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Lucas Kohorst

Adjacent News

Prediction Market Driven News

EA Community ChoiceEA communityForecasting
6
11
$1K raised
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David Glidden

Forecasting Meetup Network - Washington, DC pilot (4 meetups)

Local meetups of forecasters, fans of prediction markets, and others interested in improving humanity’s ability to predict the future.

EA Community ChoiceLong-Term Future FundEA communityForecastingEA Infrastructure Fund
2
16
$657 raised
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Adam Binksmith

Fatebook and Quantified Intuitions

Forecasting tools by Sage. Fatebook: the fastest way to track your predictions. Quantified Intuitions: Forecasting training tools with rapid feedback loops

EA Community ChoiceForecasting
4
2
$1.02K raised
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Nuño Sempere

Make ALERT happen

ALERT := Active Longtermist Emergency Response Team

Science & technologyForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
8
8
$18.5K raised
🌽

Marcel van Diemen

The Base Rate Times

News through prediction markets

Forecasting
13
18
$4.28K raised
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Tolga Bilge

Forecasting - AI Governance Policies

AI governanceForecasting
6
3
$9K raised

Unfunded Projects

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UNFUNDED

AI governanceEA communityForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
0
0
$0 raised
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Suzie Gray

Building an Interdisciplinary Research Hub on Simulation

Rethinking Reality, AI and Epistemology

Science & technologyAI governanceEA communityForecasting
1
0
$0 raised
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Marko Calvo-Cruz

MusicBets - Let's Predict the Grammys!

A Music Prediction Markets App like Manifold & Polymarket but specifically for all things music

Forecasting
1
0
$0 raised
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Sterlin Lujan

Polis Labs - A Post-Moloch Research Institute

Grant to Get the Institute Moving at Lightspeed

Science & technologyForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
1
0
$0 raised