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Predicting Replication in Academic Economics
Not fundedImpact certificate
$0raised
$7,000valuation
Project description
I want to replicate one full year of the American Economic Review, six months from 2022-2023, and six months from 2013, and test how robust the results are to changes in empirical specifications. We also will create a poll and prediction market to allow participants to gauge how many papers will replicate.
What is your track record on similar projects?
I'm the founder of Insight Prediction. I have published similar papers in top economics journals: https://sites.google.com/view/douglaslcampbell/home. Two collaborators have published a similar finding in Science: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aaf0918. Another collaborator has a paper on p-hacking and publication bias currently in a revise-and-resubmit status at a top 5 journal. https://lrlusher.weebly.com/uploads/1/0/0/4/10048967/publication_bias_draft_aer_submission.pdf
How will you spend your funding?
We will use the money to hire RAs, and as rewards for the poll & prediction market we set up.